• RSS Queering the Church

    • A New British Bishop with the “Smell of the Sheep” April 16, 2014
      Pope Francis made major headlines when he chose not to live in the Vatican palace, but in smaller rooms at……, to carry his own luggage, and to drive a battered used car. This is fully in keeping with the Gospels…Read more →
      Terence Weldon
    • Church of England Bishops: “Retain Civil Partnerships” April 16, 2014
      When the UK government legislated for same – sex marriage last year, some unresolved issues remained around civil partnerships: would they disappear, or be retained as an alternative to marriage for same – sex couples? What would be the status…Read more →
      Terence Weldon
  • RSS Spirit of a Liberal

  • RSS There Will be Bread

    • Where Are You? October 26, 2011
      Greetings to all others who grace these pages! Thank you for stopping by. If you still have a reader pointed here, this blog no longer publishes in this location, but can be found at this new link. Please subscribe to the new feed, get the new blog via email or read us by liking us on Facebook or by following me on Twitter.If you want more, please feel free […]
      noreply@blogger.com (Fran)
  • RSS The Wild Reed

    • Discerning Balance Between Holiness and Wholeness: An Aspect of the Resurrected Life April 20, 2014
      The Wild Reed's 2014 Holy Week series concludes with a final excerpt from John Neafsey's 2006 book A Sacred Voice is Calling: Personal and Social Conscience. (To start at the beginning of this series, click here.)Unlike the previous four excerpts shared in this series, today's focuses not on suffering but on the authentic life or, as Neafsey p […]
      noreply@blogger.com (Michael J. Bayly)
    • A God With Whom It is Possible to Connect April 18, 2014
      Continuing with The Wild Reed's 2014 Holy Week series, I share today a fourth excerpt from John Neafsey's book A Sacred Voice is Calling: Personal Vocation and Social Justice. (To start at the beginning of this series, click here.)As with all the excerpts from Neafsey's book shared in this series, this fourth one focuses on suffering, a key th […]
      noreply@blogger.com (Michael J. Bayly)
  • RSS Bilgrimage

  • RSS Enlightened Catholicism

    • Pope Francis On The Possibility of Married Priests April 12, 2014
      For some reason when discussing the priest shortage, one rarely hears that one big reason is the increase in lay Catholics.  That the increase in Catholic laity is mirrored by the decrease in Catholic priests makes for an interesting statistical picture....... and in a not good kind of way.   Pope Francis has been in office for just over a year and finally h […]
      colkoch
  • RSS Far From Rome

    • the way ahead March 23, 2013
      My current blog is called the way ahead.
      noreply@blogger.com (PrickliestPear)
  • RSS The Gay Mystic

    • He is Risen and I am Moving April 20, 2014
      Cathedral of Santa Barbara, Kutna Hora, Czech RepublicA glorious Easter day today in Prague, sunny, crisp, clear and a little cool (ooops it just started to rain). Yesterday, I took a bus ride to one of my favorite spots  nearby, the historic town of Kutna Hora, a Unesco World Heritage Site. It's a one hour and forty minute bumpy ride on the local bus, […]
      noreply@blogger.com (Jayden Cameron)
    • The Great Tribulation April 17, 2014
      Holy Thursday  EveThanks to William Lindsey at Bilgrimage for the link to a profound meditation by Waldemar Boff,  the brother of Liberation Theologian, Leonardo Boff, entitledWhen the Great Tribulation Arrives, the Earth will at last have her well deserved rest. As we enter into the sacred triduum of Holy Week, remembering the paschal mystery of the Lord, w […]
      noreply@blogger.com (Jayden Cameron)
  • RSS The Jesus Manifesto

    • 埼玉のプロミス、詳細を教えて! January 22, 2014
      埼玉には自動契約機の店舗だけではなく店頭窓口もあります。店頭窓口というのはお客様サービスプラザのこと。そこでは相談することもできますし、さまざまな疑問点を解消することもできます。金利や返済方法などはプロミスの公式ホームページにも記載されていますので自分の目で確認することができます。そして返済方式も残高スライド元利定額返済方式という記載がありますので確認することができるでしょう。しかし。残高スライド元利定額返済方式とはどんなものなのかご存知でしょうか。金利は比較するまでもなくほぼ一律。実は返済総額に大きく影響するのは一律となる金利よりも返済方式になるものです。残高スライド元利定額返済方式。非常に長い名称にはなっていますが理解しておいた方がよいでしょう。これは返済時にある残元金、これに定率となる割合を掛けて返済額を […]
  • RSS John McNeill: Spiritual Transformations

  • RSS Perspective

    • Happy Easter April 20, 2014
      Joy in the resurrection, from the film Jesus ...Mary finds the tomb empty and doesn't recognize the resurrected Jesus at first ...Then she does ...He asks her to tell the other disciples he's alive ...Joy :) ...
      noreply@blogger.com (crystal)

The “Catholic Vote”: No Longer a National Bellwether

In the past, Catholics were 25% of the U.S. population. Catholics now constitute 19.1% of the population according to the 2010 U.S Religion Census conducted by the Association of Statisticians of American Religious Bodies (ASARB). Catholics previously were 30% of the electorate. They are now down to 22% of registered voters according to a Sept. 12-16 poll by the Pew Forum. (In this survey, 19.6% of Catholic registered voters are Hispanic. In the November 2008 election, Hispanics were 7.9% of all registered voters.)

An older Catholic who hasn’t stepped foot inside a church for years may still self-identify as Catholic in response to a telephone poll. But more Millennials (25%) than any other age group self-identify as non-affiliated. “Catholics and white mainline Protestants saw the largest net losses due to Millennials’ movement away from their childhood religious affiliation.”

So demographically, Catholics voters are proportionately fewer in number, more Hispanic and probably older than the general population.

According to Pew, non-Hispanic Catholics have steadfastly identified with or leaned towards the Republican Party since 2009 and have consistently favored Romney over Obama in the past year, while Hispanic Catholics favor the Democrats two to one. This would indicate that a Catholic independent or undecided vote is of little statistical importance, at least insofar as their religion plays a deciding factor in how they cast their ballot.

Yet we still have pundits writing about “the importance of the Catholic vote,” that “Both campaigns should take heed” of the Catholic vote, and “If you want to find the absolute center in American politics, you could do worse than look at the nation’s Catholic vote.”

Nor is there a “Catholic vote” likely to regain any significance soon.

In a recent NPR segment, Homeland Security Secretary Janet Napolitano stated that immigration numbers are now down to 1971 levels, depriving the American Catholic Church of the major source of even a semblance of static membership in the past decade. And of those already here, “The number of Hispanics self-identifying as Catholics has declined from nearly 100 percent in just two decades, while the number who describe themselves as Protestant has nearly doubled and the number saying they have ‘no religion’ has also doubled,” Archbishop José Gomez of Los Angeles noted in a 2009 talk.

The exodus from the Catholic Church as first reported in the Pew Forum on Religion and Public Life 2007 survey which famously noted that, although a third of U.S. adultshad been raised as Catholics, only 23.9% still self-identified with the denomination, continues unabated.

The Boston archdiocese which had reduced its parishes from 357 in 2004 down to 288, is now reporting the number of parishes will be further reduced to 135 “clusters” in the future “as national trends show more people leaving Church.” This past year, Philadelphia Archbishop Charles J. Chaput closed 9 parishes and 27 schools and admits that a further “scaled-down” organization is on the horizon. They join dozens of U.S. dioceses which have already closed hundreds of parishes or are planning on doing so.

There will not be a “Catholic vote” which merits attention from politicos again for a long time.

About these ads

6 Responses

  1. Betty, thank you for this wonderfully well-researched article (as with all of your articles). It is very informative and useful. I wish all the media commentators talking about “the” Catholic vote could read it!

    • Thanks so much. You are so kind. Yes, I got tired of reading about the “Catholic vote” which is so fragmented as to be meaningless.

  2. I wish all those who think the Hispanic Church is going to save US Catholicism would assimilate the statistics about Hispanic losses. They are leaving for the same types of reasons Anglo Catholics are leaving. They can not relate to the current kind of Church we now have. We are losing the relational aspect of the Church in favor of conformity.

    • You are so right, Colleen. Some of the older generation of immigrants may cling to their own Latino communities within the RCC umbrella, but the assimilated younger generation will not. Even among the older folks, many have left already for other Christian churches. Betty

  3. Do you think the church will learn from this?
    they would rather let the church die a long slow death then give up any of their power. They should be silent and learn from the laity.

    • It has often been said that from the beginning of his reign, Ratzinger wanted a smaller, “purer” church. I think the hierarchs are happy to see any Catholic who doesn’t want to “pay, pray and obey” exit. They have no intention of learning from the laity because they think we have nothing to teach them.

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s

Follow

Get every new post delivered to your Inbox.

Join 140 other followers

%d bloggers like this: